The
Oscars are going to greet winners very soon, on Sunday night, February 26,
2012. There were some snubs this year, but it's probably how it's going to be
forever. Just because you can't nominate every great performance or film.
Anyway, there are a few notable pictures that grace the cinematography with its
presence.
Let's
get to my predictions now.
winner stands for a film that I think will take this or that
trophy on Sunday.
favorite stands for a film I root for and
want it to win. Sometimes there are a few.
Note:
I judge films by the category, not my overall opinion. Thus, when I say favorite it means I praise this or that aspect of
filmmaking that it was nominated for.
Short Film, Live Action
Pentecost: Peter McDonald
- winner
Raju: Max Zähle, Stefan
Gieren
The Shore: Terry George,
Oorlagh George
Time Freak:
Andrew Bowler, Gigi Causey
Tuba Atlantic:
Hallvar Witzø
Apparently,
shorts and documentaries are my week point, so my guesses are blind. And I
don't have favorites.
Short Film, Animated
Dimanche/Sunday:
Patrick Doyon
The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore: William Joyce, Brandon Oldenburg
La Luna: Enrico Casarosa
- winner
A Morning Stroll:
Grant Orchard, Sue Goffe
Wild Life: Amanda Forbis,
Wendy Tilby
Documentary Short Subject
The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil
Rights Movement: Robin Fryday, Gail Dolgin
God Is the Bigger Elvis:
Rebecca Cammisa, Julie Anderson
Incident in New Baghdad:
James Spione
Saving Face:
Daniel Junge, Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy
The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom: Lucy Walker, Kira Carstensen - winner
Documentary Feature
Hell and Back Again:
Danfung Dennis, Mike Lerner
If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front: Marshall Curry, Sam Cullman
Paradise Lost 3:
Purgatory: Joe Berlinger, Bruce
Sinofsky - winner
Pina: Wim Wenders,
Gian-Piero Ringel
Undefeated:
TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay, Richard Middlemas
I
guess Pina stands a good chance, too,
but I'll go for Paradise Lost 3 for
this story seems chilling and affecting.
Visual Effects
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2: Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler, John Richardson
Hugo: Robert Legato, Joss
Williams, Ben Grossmann, Alex Henning
Real Steel:
Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Danny Gordon Taylor, Swen Gillberg
Rise of the Planet of the Apes: Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White, Daniel Barrett - favorite, winner
Transformers: Dark of the Moon: Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Matthew E. Butler, John Frazier
Okay,
so the Apes film was amazing, and WETA did a fantastic job. Harry Potter might get the Oscar,
considering that it won at BAFTA. Yet again, Harry Potter is a British
treasure, so the Academy can have a different idea. Hugo was astounding as well, having a fabulous use of 3D.
Sound Editing
Drive: Lon Bender,
Victor Ray Ennis - favorite
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: Ren Klyce
Hugo: Philip Stockton,
Eugene Gearty
Transformers: Dark of the Moon: Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl - winner
War Horse: Richard Hymns,
Gary Rydstrom
I
honestly hope I'll be proven wrong but I have a terrible feeling the Academy
liked the sound of Michael Bay creation. I'll be happy if any other film takes
the award.
Sound Mixing
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce, Bo Persson
Hugo: Tom Fleischman, John
Midgley - favorite
Moneyball: Deb Adair, Ron
Bochar, David Giammarco, Ed Novick
Transformers: Dark of the Moon: Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, Peter J. Devlin - winner
War Horse: Gary Rydstrom,
Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson, Stuart Wilson
Same
here.
Music, Original Song
The Muppets:
Bret McKenzie ("Man or Muppet") - favorite,
winner
Rio: Sergio Mendes,
Carlinhos Brown, Siedah Garrett ("Real in Rio")
Two
nominees. Wow. If The Muppets doesn't
win here, I'll be shocked.
Music, Original Score
The Adventures of Tintin:
John Williams
The Artist:
Ludovic Bource - favorite, winner
Hugo: Howard Shore
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy:
Alberto Iglesias
War Horse: John Williams
Being
honest, I was more a fan of Cliff Martinez's score for Contagion and Alberto Iglesias' music for The Skin I Live In. Obviously, the former sounded too cool and the
latter, too classic. The Artist can
take this one but what bothers me is what if the AMPAS listened to Kim Novak?
Many films use scores from other pictures, what's Hazanavicius' sin? They still
have their original score.
Makeup
Albert Nobbs:
Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnson, Matthew W. Mungle
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2: Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight, Lisa Tomblin
The Iron Lady:
Mark Coulier, J. Roy Helland - favorite, winner
The Iron Lady
opens on March 1 here but I already know that I pull for this movie. Harry Potter is also a contender; maybe,
it's gonna receive a farewell Oscar.
Costume Design
Anonymous: Lisy Christl
The Artist:
Mark Bridges - favorite, winner
Hugo: Sandy Powell
Jane Eyre: Michael
O'Connor
W.E.: Arianne Phillips
The Artist
is stylish and good-looking in a retro way, and I see only Jane Eyre as its main rival, but once again, isn't the latter too
traditional? Films, depicting the era, are released every year. So go The Artist!
Art Direction
The Artist:
Laurence Bennett, Robert Gould
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2: Stuart Craig, Stephenie McMillan
Hugo: Dante Ferretti,
Francesca Lo Schiavo - favorite, winner
Midnight in Paris:
Anne Seibel, Hélène Dubreuil
War Horse: Rick Carter,
Lee Sandales
The
first minutes of viewing Hugo and I'm
already thinking "that's the winner for best art direction for me
personally". Its main rival is The
Artist because you know some movies love to sweep all awards possible. I
won't have problem with that though. Loved this silent movie. But more fair is
to give the Art Direction AA for Martin Scorsese's kids film, which is not
exactly a kids film. Duh.
Film Editing
The Artist:
Anne-Sophie Bion, Michel Hazanavicius
The Descendants:
Kevin Tent
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: Angus Wall, Kirk Baxter - favorite,
winner
Hugo: Thelma Schoonmaker
Moneyball: Christopher
Tellefsen
I
may be crazy for predicting this but I can't see other film taking this award
home. Well, there's The Artist. It
can take anything home… Ah, I'll take a risk. It bothers me that, mostly, my
predictions coincide with my favorites so far. Something's definitely wrong.
Cinematography
The Artist:
Guillaume Schiffman
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: Jeff Cronenweth
Hugo: Robert Richardson - favorite
The Tree of Life:
Emmanuel Lubezki - favorite, winner
War Horse: Janusz Kaminski
Yeah,
I root for two films here. Actually, I will be happy for any of them to win in
this category. It feels really good.
Foreign Language Film
Bullhead: Michael R.
Roskam (Belgium)
Footnote: Joseph Cedar
(Israel)
In Darkness:
Agnieszka Holland (Poland)
Monsieur Lazhar:
Philippe Falardeau (Canada)
A Separation:
Asghar Farhadi (Iran) - winner
My
favorite would have been The Skin I Live
In but that's a snub.
Animated Feature Film
A Cat in Paris:
Alain Gagnol, Jean-Loup Felicioli
Chico & Rita:
Fernando Trueba, Javier Mariscal
Kung Fu Panda 2:
Jennifer Yuh
Puss in Boots:
Chris Miller - favorite
Rango: Gore Verbinski
- winner
My
absolute favorite last year was (and is) The
Adventures of Tintin, and this film is breathtaking! Alas, the Academy beg
to differ.
Writing, Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants:
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash
Hugo: John Logan - favorite
The Ides of March:
George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon
Moneyball: Steven Zaillian,
Aaron Sorkin, Stan Chervin - winner
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy:
Bridget O'Connor, Peter Straughan
I'm
not sure, if Sorkin has that chance to win twice in a row, but there's nothing
impossible at the Oscars.
Writing, Original Screenplay
The Artist:
Michel Hazanavicius - favorite, winner
Bridesmaids:
Kristen Wiig, Annie Mumolo
Margin Call:
J.C. Chandor
Midnight in Paris:
Woody Allen
A Separation:
Asghar Farhadi
No
matter how much I loved Midnight in Paris,
The Artist was pure brilliance. I get
a little bit annoyed or better say I don't understand people who say that it's
a silent film and it shouldn't even be nominated for writing. Huh? Why?! A
screenplay is not only a bunch of lines for actors to speak. It's also the
description of the action that is going on the screen. It's the story. And The Artist deserves to win.
Directing
Woody
Allen for Midnight in Paris
Michel
Hazanavicius for The Artist - favorite, winner
Terrence
Malick for The Tree of Life
Alexander
Payne for The Descendants
Martin
Scorsese for Hugo - favorite
Actress in a Supporting Role
Bérénice
Bejo for The Artist - favorite
Jessica
Chastain for The Help - favorite
Melissa
McCarthy for Bridesmaids
Janet
McTeer for Albert Nobbs
Octavia
Spencer for The Help - favorite, winner
I
think supporting actor categories are those we can be sure about. And overall,
I do like acting nominees this year. So much talent.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Kenneth
Branagh for My Week with Marilyn - favorite
Jonah
Hill for Moneyball
Nick
Nolte for Warrior - favorite
Christopher
Plummer for Beginners - favorite, winner
Max
von Sydow for Extremely Loud &
Incredibly Close
Actress in a Leading Role
Glenn
Close for Albert Nobbs
Viola
Davis for The Help - favorite, winner
Rooney
Mara for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
- favorite
Meryl
Streep for The Iron Lady - favorite
Michelle
Williams for My Week with Marilyn - favorite
Gosh,
four favorites! I can do nothing about it. This category was particularly
difficult to call. Either Viola or Meryl. I'm still not sure.
Actor in a Leading Role
Demián
Bichir for A Better Life
George
Clooney for The Descendants
Jean
Dujardin for The Artist - favorite, winner
Gary
Oldman for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
- favorite
Brad
Pitt for Moneyball - favorite
This
race is close as well. Either Dujardin or Clooney but something tells me that
the former is more likely to win.
Best Picture
The Artist:
Thomas Langmann - favorite, winner
The Descendants:
Jim Burke, Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close: Scott Rudin
The Help: Brunson Green,
Chris Columbus, Michael Barnathan
Hugo: Graham King, Martin
Scorsese - favorite
Midnight in Paris:
Letty Aronson, Stephen Tenenbaum
Moneyball: Michael De
Luca, Rachael Horovitz, Brad Pitt
The Tree of Life:
Sarah Green, Bill Pohlad, Dede Gardner, Grant Hill
War Horse: Steven
Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy
The Artist
should win.
Three years in a row, I got 16 wins right. Let's see if I can beat this quasi record.
What
do you think of my predictions? Agree/disagree? What films are you rooting for?